Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.321928 0.350913 0.381715 0.416953 0.456232 0.498760 0.548413
2025-12-28 0.277964 0.319429 0.366430 0.423949 0.492841 0.573208 0.674789
2026-01-04 0.251410 0.299339 0.356095 0.428866 0.520570 0.633467 0.784799
2026-01-11 0.231155 0.283020 0.346605 0.431256 0.542461 0.685643 0.887385
2026-01-18 0.214854 0.269315 0.338070 0.432601 0.561348 0.733794 0.987861
2026-01-25 0.202392 0.259021 0.332404 0.436261 0.582432 0.785465 1.097358
2026-02-01 0.187474 0.244106 0.319111 0.427885 0.585314 0.810942 1.170413
2026-02-08 0.178151 0.235880 0.313976 0.429978 0.602581 0.857836 1.279827
2026-02-15 0.168293 0.226135 0.305866 0.426853 0.611411 0.892232 1.372548
2026-02-22 0.160980 0.219402 0.301408 0.428462 0.627077 0.937944 1.488115
2026-03-01 0.152519 0.210460 0.293093 0.423485 0.631792 0.966186 1.576575
2026-03-08 0.144531 0.201716 0.284469 0.417286 0.633806 0.989750 1.658836
2026-03-15 0.135087 0.190428 0.271553 0.403732 0.623143 0.991641 1.703057
2026-03-22 0.131469 0.187654 0.271355 0.410344 0.646409 1.053873 1.868099
2026-03-29 0.127681 0.184377 0.270123 0.415071 0.666664 1.112436 2.033408
2026-04-05 0.123623 0.180444 0.267588 0.417367 0.682704 1.164609 2.192511
2026-04-12 0.119642 0.176408 0.264624 0.418660 0.696911 1.214472 2.353293
2026-04-19 0.116404 0.173367 0.263060 0.422177 0.715315 1.273956 2.543082
2026-04-26 0.111054 0.166688 0.255187 0.414128 0.711486 1.289111 2.635173
2026-05-03 0.108014 0.163600 0.253084 0.416139 0.726797 1.344152 2.827459
2026-05-10 0.104222 0.159106 0.248382 0.413136 0.732102 1.378898 2.976087
2026-05-17 0.101488 0.156231 0.246265 0.414683 0.746395 1.433864 3.182955
2026-05-24 0.097803 0.151610 0.240924 0.409899 0.747569 1.460455 3.321212